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WEEKLY MET COAL WRAP: Contrasting supply dynamics emerge

пятница, 04 декабря 2020

Asia-Pacific metallurgical coal prices moved in different directions in China and ex-China markets due to contrasting supply dynamics.

S&P Global Platts assessed the Premium Low-Vol HCC down 75 cents/mt on week to $101.00/mt FOB Australia Dec. 4, while delivered prices to China were up $3.00/mt to $177.50/mt CFR China.

The spot market saw active trading in the premium coking coal segment, as speculative demand emerged at current price levels. Relativities of Australian premium medium volatile matter coals flipped to a slight premium against benchmark PLV FOB Australia again, reflecting traded levels of PLV/PMV coals. Market participants said fluctuations of relativities and prices were expected as market dynamics could switch quickly if new trades are concluded on an FOB basis.

In China, market participants said the escalating China-Australia tension does not appear to be easing anytime soon, and more non-Australian cargoes could find their way into China as buyers there can pay “premium prices."

However, thin liquidity was observed recently and market participants said many buyers were cautious due to the lack of availability of nearby shipments of premium coking coal. Higher risks were associated with January/February laycan cargoes as uncertainties still linger over import policies, sources said.

Meanwhile, supply of Mongolian coals to China declined sharply following transportation and logistics disruptions. At least two sell-side sources said that they have no spot cargoes to offer in the near term and a supply shortage was expected in the coming weeks.

In the coke segment, strength in prices continued with major steelmakers in Hebei accepting an eighth round of price increases. The market expected that the tight supply of domestic coke might lead to a further round of price increases near term, sources said.


-- Staff

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